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rangeProb-Tracks London Map ES · Wed 23 Sep 2026 · 07:47 ET

Where can ES get to before London closes?

Every level priced by how far away it is — not by what it is called. Set at 07:47 ET, before the London open. Odds are the chance price touches that level at some point during 2am – 8am ET.
Price now
7,824
Typical London
26 pts
London window
2am – 8am ET
Where it can get toOdds of touching itTier
7,8691%OUTLIER
7,8581%OUTLIER
7,8511%OUTLIER
7,8472%OUTLIER
7,8443%OUTLIER
7,8405%OUTLIER
7,836PRICE AT OPEN
7,833hitHIT
7,829hitHIT
7,826hitHIT
7,82289%NEAR BAND
7,81514%LONG SHOT
7,8042%OUTLIER
The levels people actually watch
The same curve, read the other way round: these are named reference levels, and the percentage each one carries is whatever its DISTANCE is worth on the ladder above. A level is not more likely because of what it is called.
LevelDistanceChance
NY session low2.25 pts · 0.03 ATRalready there
Prior day mid5.00 pts · 0.07 ATR51%
Prior day open5.50 pts · 0.08 ATR44%
Settlement6.50 pts · 0.09 ATR36%
Midnight open11.25 pts · 0.16 ATR10%
Prior day low14.00 pts · 0.19 ATR6%
Levels that sit more than one typical day away are left off — at that distance the honest answer is "almost never" and a row saying so is just noise.

Two levels the same distance away carry the same odds, whatever they are called. Reach in London is a fraction of the day's — a level worth 64% in New York is worth 3% here. leppyrdtracks.com