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rangeProb-Tracks

You don’t need all of this.

Nobody needs every page. Take two things that fit how you already trade and leave the rest.
First Tracks 4 min · what this is, and how to read it
The site isn’t a system to adopt. It’s a set of answers to questions you were already asking: how far does this usually go, how often does that actually happen, and is this setup as good as it looks. Find your question below.
If you trade the New York open

Where can it get to today?

You want levels before the bell and a sense of what’s realistic. Start with the day’s map, then learn how far this session actually travels so you stop aiming at things that print one day in ten.
If you scalp or trade intraday

Is my stop in a stupid place?

Your edge lives or dies on geometry. Find out what a normal-sized move looks like in this market, then check whether your target and stop are a fair trade or a slow bleed, resolved on which one price actually reached first.
If you trade overnight or London

What happens before New York?

Most tools price the whole day off one curve, which badly overstates the quiet sessions. Asia and London get their own maps and their own reach, anchored to where that session actually opened.
If you have your own setup

Does my idea actually hold up?

You already trade something. Test it: describe the day and see what usually follows, or name the outcome and let it search every condition, then correct for having looked everywhere, which is the part that stops you fooling yourself.

What to ignore for now

Bias is a live board and it only says something while the market is open, so come back to it during a session. Target odds is the deep one, and it will make more sense once you have used the roadmaps for a week. Learn is worth an afternoon eventually, but you do not need it to get value out of anything above.

If a page ever shows you a number you cannot explain, that is our problem and not yours. Say so in the feedback channel and we will fix the page.

Before you trust any of it

Everything here is measured, not asserted. Every number carries the sample size behind it and the base rate it has to beat. Where something came out a coin flip, we publish that too, next to the numbers that work.

The scorecard grades our live calls every day, win or lose. If you only look at one page before deciding whether any of this is worth your time, look at that one.