Each rung is a level that far from here, and how often price has touched it before the month is out — from 238 months of history, read at this stage of the month (1,744 day-by-day readings), priced from where it sits now. It stays inside 25,593 – 28,197 more than half the time.
Price now
26,895
Typical month range
2,604 pts
Where we are
early in the month
likelyeven-isha stretch
LAST MONTH HIGH 31,616 is 4,722 pts away — off the map · MIDPOINT 29,925 is 3,030 pts away — off the map
where it can go, priced from history
leppyrdtracks.com · Month roadmap
rangeProb-Tracks
Page 2 · The playbook
Fri 06 Nov 2026 · priced 08:49 ET
What’s still in play?
The named levels from last month, how far each is, and the odds price tags it before this month closes — then what the month usually does from here, and today’s lean.
31,616KEY LINE
Last Month High
last month’s high — the breakout line
4,722 pts away
1% chance it tags before the month closes
29,925REVERSION TARGET
Midpoint
last month’s middle — the reversion target
3,030 pts away
3% chance it tags before the month closes
28,543REFERENCE
Settlement
last month’s close — the reference
1,648.2 pts away
✓ already tagged this month21% to tag again before it closes
28,233KEY LINE
Last Month Low
last month’s low — broken, price is below it
1,338.0 pts away
✓ already tagged this month21% to tag again before it closes
What this month usually does next — from 238 past months
Breaks last month’s high and keeps going68%n=69+18
Or pokes the high and slips back under54%n=37+4
Takes out last month’s high68%base 50%+18
Takes out last month’s low36%base 50%-14
Closes the month green65%base 50%+15
Bigger range than last month51%base 50%+1
Each number is how often it happened, next to how far it is from a coin flip. Touch odds, not money odds.
This month’s lean — no clear lean
Too early to lean — it is only 4 day(s) into the month; the lean is read after its first 5 sessions. Price is now below last month’s low (28,233), by 1,338 pts.
read the level, then the lean
BELOW last month’s low · Month roadmap · leppyrdtracks.com