Each rung is a level that far from here, and how often price has touched it before the month is out — from 240 months of history, read at this stage of the month (1,786 day-by-day readings), priced from where it sits now. It stays inside 49,851 – 52,495 more than half the time.
Price now
51,173
Typical month range
2,644 pts
Where we are
early in the month
likelyeven-isha stretch
where it can go, priced from history
leppyrdtracks.com · Month roadmap
rangeProb-Tracks
Page 2 · The playbook
Fri 06 Nov 2026 · priced 08:49 ET
What’s still in play?
The named levels from last month, how far each is, and the odds price tags it before this month closes — then what the month usually does from here, and today’s lean.
53,168KEY LINE
Last Month High
last month’s high — the breakout line
1,995.0 pts away
✓ already tagged this month10% to tag again before it closes
52,014REVERSION TARGET
Midpoint
last month’s middle — the reversion target
✓ already tagged this month35% to tag again before it closes
51,928REFERENCE
Settlement
last month’s close — the reference
✓ already tagged this month35% to tag again before it closes
50,859KEY LINE
Last Month Low
last month’s low — the floor
62% chance it tags before the month closes
What this month usually does next — from 240 past months
Breaks last month’s high and keeps going57%n=54+7
Or pokes the high and slips back under58%n=50+8
Takes out last month’s high68%base 50%+18
Takes out last month’s low37%base 50%-13
Closes the month green64%base 50%+14
Bigger range than last month50%base 50%-0
Each number is how often it happened, next to how far it is from a coin flip. Touch odds, not money odds.
This month’s lean — ↓ leaning down
Leaning down — it poked last month’s high (53,168) and fell back under. Those only keep going up 58% of the time, so it tends to fade. Price is now inside last month’s range, 1,995 pts under its high (53,168) and 314 pts over its low (50,859).
read the level, then the lean
INSIDE last month’s range · Month roadmap · leppyrdtracks.com