Each rung is a level that far from here, and how often price has touched it before the month is out — from 207 months of history, read at this stage of the month (1,494 day-by-day readings), priced from where it sits now. It stays inside 79.11 – 102.31 more than half the time.
Price now
90.71
Typical month range
23.20 pts
Where we are
early in the month
likelyeven-isha stretch
where it can go, priced from history
leppyrdtracks.com · Month roadmap
rangeProb-Tracks
Page 2 · The playbook
Fri 06 Nov 2026 · priced 08:49 ET
What’s still in play?
The named levels from last month, how far each is, and the odds price tags it before this month closes — then what the month usually does from here, and today’s lean.
104.99KEY LINE
Last Month High
last month’s high — the breakout line
14.28 pts away
19% chance it tags before the month closes
102.95REFERENCE
Settlement
last month’s close — the reference
12.24 pts away
19% chance it tags before the month closes
95.92REVERSION TARGET
Midpoint
last month’s middle — the reversion target
✓ already tagged this month62% to tag again before it closes
86.86KEY LINE
Last Month Low
last month’s low — the floor
✓ already tagged this month62% to tag again before it closes
What this month usually does next — from 207 past months
Breaks last month’s high and keeps going72%n=46+22
Or pokes the high and slips back under43%n=35-7
Takes out last month’s high52%base 50%+2
Takes out last month’s low43%base 50%-7
Closes the month green55%base 50%+5
Bigger range than last month45%base 50%-5
Each number is how often it happened, next to how far it is from a coin flip. Touch odds, not money odds.
This month’s lean — no clear lean
Too early to lean — it is only 4 day(s) into the month; the lean is read after its first 5 sessions. Price is now inside last month’s range, 14.28 pts under its high (104.99) and 3.85 pts over its low (86.86).
read the level, then the lean
INSIDE last month’s range · Month roadmap · leppyrdtracks.com