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LEPPYRD/TRACKS
Page 1 · The map
Wed 23 Sep 2026 · priced 08:00 ET

Where can AAL get to this month?

Each rung is a level that far from here, and how often price has touched it before the month is out — 1,528 completed months, priced from where it sits now. It stays inside 12.75 – 14.47 more than half the time.
Price now
13.61
Typical month range
3.4333 pts
Where we are
late in the month
14.4724%STRETCHneeds a real move12.7524%15.336%OUTLIERrare11.896%16.182%OUTLIERrare11.042%17.041%OUTLIERrare10.181%18.760%OUTLIERrare8.46000%20.480%OUTLIERrare6.74340%13.61PRICE NOW✓ LAST MONTH LOWMIDPOINT✓ SETTLEMENT
likelyeven-isha stretch
LAST MONTH HIGH 17.11 is 3.5000 pts away — off the map
where it can go, priced from history
leppyrdtracks.com · Month roadmap
LEPPYRD/TRACKS
Page 2 · The playbook
Wed 23 Sep 2026 · priced 08:00 ET

What’s still in play?

The named levels from last month, how far each is, and the odds price tags it before this month closes — then what the month usually does from here, and today’s lean.
17.11KEY LINE
Last Month High
last month’s high — the breakout line
3.5000 pts away
0% chance it tags before the month closes
15.19REVERSION TARGET
Midpoint
last month’s middle — the reversion target
1.5800 pts away
6% chance it tags before the month closes
13.43REFERENCE
Settlement
last month’s close — the reference
✓ already tagged this month24% to tag again before it closes
13.27KEY LINE
Last Month Low
last month’s low — the floor
✓ already tagged this month24% to tag again before it closes

What this month usually does next — from 242 past months

Breaks last month’s high and keeps going59%n=34+9
Or pokes the high and slips back under36%n=36-14
Takes out last month’s high50%base 50%+0
Takes out last month’s low48%base 50%-2
Closes the month green49%base 50%-1
Bigger range than last month51%base 50%+1
Each number is how often it happened, next to how far it is from a coin flip. Touch odds, not money odds.

This month’s lean — no clear lean

No clear lean yet — it has not taken last month’s high. Watch that level (17.11) for the break.
read the level, then the lean
INSIDE last month’s range · Month roadmap · leppyrdtracks.com