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rangeProb-Tracks
Page 1 · The map
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · priced 07:00 ET

Where can AAL get to this week?

Each rung is a level that far from here, and how often price has touched it before the week is out — from 1,090 weeks of history, read at this stage of the week (1,090 day-by-day readings), priced from where it sits now. It stays inside 12.95 – 13.41 more than half the time.
Price now
13.18
Typical week range
0.9030 pts
Where we are
late in the week
13.4131%STRETCHneeds a real move12.9531%13.639%LONG SHOTneeds a runner12.739%13.862%OUTLIERrare12.502%14.081%OUTLIERrare12.281%14.530%OUTLIERrare11.830%14.990%OUTLIERrare11.370%13.18PRICE NOW✓ LAST WEEK HIGHMIDPOINTSETTLEMENT
likelyeven-isha stretch
LAST WEEK LOW 12.05 is 1.1300 pts away — off the map
where it can go, priced from history
leppyrdtracks.com · Week roadmap
rangeProb-Tracks
Page 2 · The playbook
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · priced 07:00 ET

What’s still in play?

The named levels from last week, how far each is, and the odds price tags it before this week closes — then what the week usually does from here, and today’s lean.
13.00KEY LINE
Last Week High
last week’s high — broken, price is above it
✓ already tagged this week31% to tag again before it closes
12.60REFERENCE
Settlement
last week’s close — the reference
0.5800 pts away
2% chance it tags before the week closes
12.53REVERSION TARGET
Midpoint
last week’s middle — the reversion target
0.6550 pts away
2% chance it tags before the week closes
12.05KEY LINE
Last Week Low
last week’s low — the floor
1.1300 pts away
0% chance it tags before the week closes

What this week usually does next — from 1,092 past weeks

Breaks last week’s high and keeps going60%n=148+10
Or pokes the high and slips back under48%n=123-2
Takes out last week’s high51%base 50%+1
Takes out last week’s low47%base 50%-3
Closes the week green49%base 50%-1
Bigger range than last week50%base 50%-0
Each number is how often it happened, next to how far it is from a coin flip. Touch odds, not money odds.

This week’s lean — ↑ leaning up

Leaning up — it broke last week’s high (13.00) and is still holding above it. When that happens it keeps going 60% of the time (normally 55%). Price is now above last week’s high (13.00), by 0.18 pts.
read the level, then the lean
ABOVE last week’s high · Week roadmap · leppyrdtracks.com