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LEPPYRD/TRACKS
Page 1 · The map
Wed 23 Sep 2026 · priced 08:00 ET

Where can AAL get to this week?

Each rung is a level that far from here, and how often price has touched it before the week is out — 1,976 completed weeks, priced from where it sits now. It stays inside 13.05 – 14.17 more than half the time.
Price now
13.61
Typical week range
1.1260 pts
Where we are
mid-week
13.8952%COIN FLIPabout even money13.3352%14.1725%STRETCHneeds a real move13.0525%14.4511%LONG SHOTneeds a runner12.7711%14.745%OUTLIERrare12.485%15.301%OUTLIERrare11.921%15.860%OUTLIERrare11.360%13.61PRICE NOW✓ LAST WEEK HIGHLAST WEEK LOWMIDPOINTSETTLEMENT
likelyeven-isha stretch
where it can go, priced from history
leppyrdtracks.com · Week roadmap
LEPPYRD/TRACKS
Page 2 · The playbook
Wed 23 Sep 2026 · priced 08:00 ET

What’s still in play?

The named levels from last week, how far each is, and the odds price tags it before this week closes — then what the week usually does from here, and today’s lean.
13.28KEY LINE
Last Week High
last week’s high — the breakout line
✓ already tagged this week25% to tag again before it closes
12.96REFERENCE
Settlement
last week’s close — the reference
0.6500 pts away
11% chance it tags before the week closes
12.91REVERSION TARGET
Midpoint
last week’s middle — the reversion target
0.6950 pts away
11% chance it tags before the week closes
12.55KEY LINE
Last Week Low
last week’s low — the floor
1.0600 pts away
5% chance it tags before the week closes

What this week usually does next — from 1,085 past weeks

Breaks last week’s high and keeps going60%n=146+10
Or pokes the high and slips back under48%n=126-2
Takes out last week’s high51%base 50%+1
Takes out last week’s low47%base 50%-3
Closes the week green49%base 50%-1
Bigger range than last week49%base 50%-1
Each number is how often it happened, next to how far it is from a coin flip. Touch odds, not money odds.

This week’s lean — ↑ leaning up

Leaning up — it broke last week’s high and held above it. When that happens it keeps going 60% of the time (normally 55%).
read the level, then the lean
ABOVE last week’s high · Week roadmap · leppyrdtracks.com