rangeProb-TracksPage 1 · The MapGC · Fri 06 Nov 2026 · 08:48 ET
Where can GC actually get to today?
Every level priced by how far away it is — not by what it’s called.
Set at 08:48 ET, before the bell. The wider the bar, the more often price gets there.
How to read the ladder2:58 · watch
Price now
4,058
Typical day
78 pts
6-in-10 target box
4,031 – 4,085
also on the rail: Prior Day Mid 4,111 ✓ · 12H Mid 4,080 ✓ · Prior Day Low 4,067 ✓ · Midnight Open 4,054 ✓
Where today already sits — measured from the 18:00 open, 664 sessions
Today's high
4,116
0.23 ATR · 25th pct
Today's low
4,035
0.82 ATR · 77th pct
Range so far
81 pts
IN STAT
1.04 ATR · 55th pct
Under the 1.25 ATR line — fading a swept extreme is still live today.
pulls price repels price scenery — no pull
PRIOR DAY HIGH 4,156 is 98 pts away — off the ladder entirely
We price the distance, not the name.leppyrdtracks.com 20 yrs · walk-forward · not advice
rangeProb-TracksPage 2 · The PlaybookGC · Fri 06 Nov 2026
What is still in play?
Everyone draws the same levels. Almost none of them do anything, and half are
already answered before the bell. These are the ones that are not.
4,156TAKE PROFIT UNDER
Prior Day High
reached LESS than its distance predicts
98 pts away — off the ladder
3% chance it tags in RTH
4,054SCENERY
Midnight Open
close to price - no pull of its own
✓ tagged 22:35 · ran 19 pts pastRECLAIMED · price +4 · 88% to tag again in RTH
Already answered overnight: Prior Day Mid 4,111 — rejected · Settlement 4,107 — rejected · 12H Mid 4,080 — still through · Prior Day Low 4,067 — still through
09:45 checkpoint — pending
Where price sits against the 9:30 open at 09:45 has called the day’s close 72% of the time. 3,831 sessions, six markets.
more than 0.20 ATR above → 80%0.10 to 0.20 → 71%0.05 to 0.10 → 67%under 0.05 → 59%
Below the open, the mirror. Check it at 09:45.
What today’s setup says next — 504 matching days, 4 conditions
Breaks yesterday's high75%base 50%+25
Day closes green70%base 51%+19
Closes in the bottom third20%base 32%-11
Closes in the top third45%base 38%+8
Returns to the midnight open45%base 51%-6
9:30-4:00 closes green51%base 50%+2
Today's range ends wider than yesterday's51%base 49%+2
Outside day - takes both extremes9%base 10%-1
Only questions still open. Every number carries the base rate it is beating, because a % means nothing without one.
77%
One end of the day is in by 10:30
But both ends only 4% of the time. After the first hour you can usually treat one
side as fixed — just don’t assume the range is finished. And the low goes in before the high
at every checkpoint, all day. 5,145 sessions, 2006–2026.
97 pts
Stop fading past this much range
Once today’s high-minus-low clears it, swept highs and lows
keep going instead of reversing — 8 times out of 8 in testing.
Mark it the moment the first hour sets a boundary.
These are odds price TOUCHES a number — not odds you make money.
Price can tag your level right after stopping you out. This tells you where it can get to and what is
worth aiming at. Which way to take the trade is still your call.
Post the map. Post the grade. Every day.leppyrdtracks.com Nobody else marks their own homework · not advice