rangeProb-TracksPage 1 · The MapCL · Fri 06 Nov 2026 · 08:48 ET
Where can CL actually get to today?
Every level priced by how far away it is — not by what it’s called.
Set at 08:48 ET, before the bell. The wider the bar, the more often price gets there.
How to read the ladder2:58 · watch
Price now
91
Typical day
4 pts
6-in-10 target box
90 – 93
also on the rail: Midnight Open 91 ✓ · 12H Mid 91 ✓ · Prior Day Mid 89
Where today already sits — measured from the 18:00 open, 663 sessions
Today's high
93
1.06 ATR · 89th pct
Today's low
89
-0.24 ATR · 0th pct
Range so far
3 pts
IN STAT
0.82 ATR · 29th pct
Under the 1.25 ATR line — fading a swept extreme is still live today.
pulls price repels price scenery — no pull
PRIOR DAY LOW 87 is 4 pts away — off the ladder entirely
We price the distance, not the name.leppyrdtracks.com 20 yrs · walk-forward · not advice
rangeProb-TracksPage 2 · The PlaybookCL · Fri 06 Nov 2026
What is still in play?
Everyone draws the same levels. Almost none of them do anything, and half are
already answered before the bell. These are the ones that are not.
91SCENERY
Midnight Open
close to price - no pull of its own
✓ tagged 18:15 · ran 1 pts pastREJECTED · price +0 · 90% to tag again in RTH
89DISTANCE ONLY
Prior Day Mid
the reversion target when a day turns
2 pts away — in play
36% chance it tags in RTH
87DISTANCE ONLY
Prior Day Low
yesterday's floor
4 pts away — off the ladder
4% chance it tags in RTH
Already answered overnight: Prior Day High 91 — rejected · 12H Mid 91 — reclaimed · Settlement 91 — reclaimed
09:45 checkpoint — pending
Where price sits against the 9:30 open at 09:45 has called the day’s close 72% of the time. 3,831 sessions, six markets.
more than 0.20 ATR above → 80%0.10 to 0.20 → 71%0.05 to 0.10 → 67%under 0.05 → 59%
Below the open, the mirror. Check it at 09:45.
What today’s setup says next — 453 matching days, 7 conditions
Day closes green27%base 51%-24
Day's high prints in Asia25%base 8%+17
Closes in the top third29%base 39%-10
Closes in the bottom third43%base 33%+10
Returns to the midnight open51%base 56%-5
9:30-4:00 closes green49%base 51%-3
Breaks yesterday's low43%base 46%-3
Outside day - takes both extremes10%base 9%+1
Only questions still open. Every number carries the base rate it is beating, because a % means nothing without one.
77%
One end of the day is in by 10:30
But both ends only 4% of the time. After the first hour you can usually treat one
side as fixed — just don’t assume the range is finished. And the low goes in before the high
at every checkpoint, all day. 5,145 sessions, 2006–2026.
5 pts
Stop fading past this much range
Once today’s high-minus-low clears it, swept highs and lows
keep going instead of reversing — 8 times out of 8 in testing.
Mark it the moment the first hour sets a boundary.
These are odds price TOUCHES a number — not odds you make money.
Price can tag your level right after stopping you out. This tells you where it can get to and what is
worth aiming at. Which way to take the trade is still your call.
Post the map. Post the grade. Every day.leppyrdtracks.com Nobody else marks their own homework · not advice