Each rung is a level that far from here, and how often price has touched it before the month is out — from 99 months of history, read at this stage of the month (721 day-by-day readings), priced from where it sits now. It stays inside 2,628 – 2,843 more than half the time.
Price now
2,736
Typical month range
214.7 pts
Where we are
early in the month
likelyeven-isha stretch
where it can go, priced from history
leppyrdtracks.com · Month roadmap
rangeProb-Tracks
Page 2 · The playbook
Fri 06 Nov 2026 · priced 08:49 ET
What’s still in play?
The named levels from last month, how far each is, and the odds price tags it before this month closes — then what the month usually does from here, and today’s lean.
2,887KEY LINE
Last Month High
last month’s high — the breakout line
151.40 pts away
✓ already tagged this month16% to tag again before it closes
2,822REFERENCE
Settlement
last month’s close — the reference
86.10 pts away
✓ already tagged this month35% to tag again before it closes
2,805REVERSION TARGET
Midpoint
last month’s middle — the reversion target
✓ already tagged this month35% to tag again before it closes
2,723KEY LINE
Last Month Low
last month’s low — the floor
63% chance it tags before the month closes
What this month usually does next — from 99 past months
Breaks last month’s high and keeps going65%n=23+15
Or pokes the high and slips back under27%n=11-23
Takes out last month’s high57%base 50%+7
Takes out last month’s low36%base 50%-14
Closes the month green59%base 50%+9
Bigger range than last month44%base 50%-6
Each number is how often it happened, next to how far it is from a coin flip. Touch odds, not money odds.
This month’s lean — no clear lean
Too early to lean — it is only 4 day(s) into the month; the lean is read after its first 5 sessions. Price is now inside last month’s range, 151 pts under its high (2,887) and 12 pts over its low (2,723).
read the level, then the lean
INSIDE last month’s range · Month roadmap · leppyrdtracks.com