Each rung is a level that far from here, and how often price has touched it before the month is out — from 212 months of history, read at this stage of the month (1,571 day-by-day readings), priced from where it sits now. It stays inside 3,730 – 4,395 more than half the time.
Price now
4,062
Typical month range
664.9 pts
Where we are
early in the month
likelyeven-isha stretch
where it can go, priced from history
leppyrdtracks.com · Month roadmap
rangeProb-Tracks
Page 2 · The playbook
Fri 06 Nov 2026 · priced 08:49 ET
What’s still in play?
The named levels from last month, how far each is, and the odds price tags it before this month closes — then what the month usually does from here, and today’s lean.
4,259KEY LINE
Last Month High
last month’s high — the breakout line
37% chance it tags before the month closes
4,069REVERSION TARGET
Midpoint
last month’s middle — the reversion target
✓ already tagged this month63% to tag again before it closes
3,885REFERENCE
Settlement
last month’s close — the reference
37% chance it tags before the month closes
3,879KEY LINE
Last Month Low
last month’s low — the floor
37% chance it tags before the month closes
What this month usually does next — from 212 past months
Breaks last month’s high and keeps going73%n=37+23
Or pokes the high and slips back under23%n=30-27
Takes out last month’s high53%base 50%+3
Takes out last month’s low39%base 50%-11
Closes the month green53%base 50%+3
Bigger range than last month48%base 50%-2
Each number is how often it happened, next to how far it is from a coin flip. Touch odds, not money odds.
This month’s lean — no clear lean
No clear lean yet — it has not taken last month’s high (4,259). Watch that level for the break. Price is now inside last month’s range, 197 pts under its high (4,259) and 183 pts over its low (3,879).
read the level, then the lean
INSIDE last month’s range · Month roadmap · leppyrdtracks.com