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LEPPYRD/TRACKS
Page 1 · The map
Wed 23 Sep 2026 · priced 08:53 ET

Where can ES get to this month?

Each rung is a level that far from here, and how often price has touched it before the month is out — 1,645 completed months, priced from where it sits now. It stays inside 7,726 – 7,915 more than half the time.
Price now
7,821
Typical month range
378.5 pts
Where we are
late in the month
7,91528%STRETCHneeds a real move7,72628%8,0108%OUTLIERrare7,6318%8,1053%OUTLIERrare7,5373%8,1991%OUTLIERrare7,4421%8,3890%OUTLIERrare7,2530%8,5780%OUTLIERrare7,0640%7,821PRICE NOWLAST MONTH HIGHLAST MONTH LOW✓ MIDPOINT✓ SETTLEMENT
likelyeven-isha stretch
where it can go, priced from history
leppyrdtracks.com · Month roadmap
LEPPYRD/TRACKS
Page 2 · The playbook
Wed 23 Sep 2026 · priced 08:53 ET

What’s still in play?

The named levels from last month, how far each is, and the odds price tags it before this month closes — then what the month usually does from here, and today’s lean.
7,850KEY LINE
Last Month High
last month’s high — the breakout line
28% chance it tags before the month closes
7,769REFERENCE
Settlement
last month’s close — the reference
✓ already tagged this month28% to tag again before it closes
7,696REVERSION TARGET
Midpoint
last month’s middle — the reversion target
✓ already tagged this month8% to tag again before it closes
7,543KEY LINE
Last Month Low
last month’s low — the floor
278.0 pts away
3% chance it tags before the month closes

What this month usually does next — from 236 past months

Breaks last month’s high and keeps going67%n=67+17
Or pokes the high and slips back under51%n=37+1
Takes out last month’s high69%base 50%+19
Takes out last month’s low33%base 50%-17
Closes the month green62%base 50%+12
Bigger range than last month47%base 50%-3
Each number is how often it happened, next to how far it is from a coin flip. Touch odds, not money odds.

This month’s lean — no clear lean

No clear lean yet — it has not taken last month’s high. Watch that level (7,850) for the break.
read the level, then the lean
INSIDE last month’s range · Month roadmap · leppyrdtracks.com