Each rung is a level that far from here, and how often price has touched it before the month is out — from 237 months of history, read at this stage of the month (1,727 day-by-day readings), priced from where it sits now. It stays inside 7,209 – 7,598 more than half the time.
Price now
7,404
Typical month range
389.0 pts
Where we are
early in the month
likelyeven-isha stretch
LAST MONTH HIGH 7,898 is 493.8 pts away — off the map
where it can go, priced from history
leppyrdtracks.com · Month roadmap
rangeProb-Tracks
Page 2 · The playbook
Fri 06 Nov 2026 · priced 08:49 ET
What’s still in play?
The named levels from last month, how far each is, and the odds price tags it before this month closes — then what the month usually does from here, and today’s lean.
7,898KEY LINE
Last Month High
last month’s high — the breakout line
493.8 pts away
4% chance it tags before the month closes
7,728REVERSION TARGET
Midpoint
last month’s middle — the reversion target
324.1 pts away
✓ already tagged this month10% to tag again before it closes
7,614REFERENCE
Settlement
last month’s close — the reference
210.8 pts away
✓ already tagged this month18% to tag again before it closes
7,558KEY LINE
Last Month Low
last month’s low — broken, price is below it
154.50 pts away
✓ already tagged this month36% to tag again before it closes
What this month usually does next — from 237 past months
Breaks last month’s high and keeps going66%n=68+16
Or pokes the high and slips back under51%n=37+1
Takes out last month’s high69%base 50%+19
Takes out last month’s low33%base 50%-17
Closes the month green62%base 50%+12
Bigger range than last month47%base 50%-3
Each number is how often it happened, next to how far it is from a coin flip. Touch odds, not money odds.
This month’s lean — no clear lean
Too early to lean — it is only 4 day(s) into the month; the lean is read after its first 5 sessions. Price is now below last month’s low (7,558), by 154 pts.
read the level, then the lean
BELOW last month’s low · Month roadmap · leppyrdtracks.com