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rangeProb-Tracks
Page 1 · The map
Fri 06 Nov 2026 · priced 08:49 ET

Where can ES get to this week?

Each rung is a level that far from here, and how often price has touched it before the week is out — from 1,043 weeks of history, read at this stage of the week (1,090 day-by-day readings), priced from where it sits now. It stays inside 7,357 – 7,450 more than half the time.
Price now
7,404
Typical week range
186.55 pts
Where we are
late in the week
7,45034%STRETCHneeds a real move7,35734%7,49711%LONG SHOTneeds a runner7,31011%7,5443%OUTLIERrare7,2643%7,5901%OUTLIERrare7,2171%7,6840%OUTLIERrare7,1240%7,7770%OUTLIERrare7,0310%7,404PRICE NOW✓ LAST WEEK LOW
likelyeven-isha stretch
LAST WEEK HIGH 7,820 is 415.8 pts away — off the map  ·  MIDPOINT 7,689 is 285.1 pts away — off the map  ·  SETTLEMENT 7,614 is 210.8 pts away — off the map
where it can go, priced from history
leppyrdtracks.com · Week roadmap
rangeProb-Tracks
Page 2 · The playbook
Fri 06 Nov 2026 · priced 08:49 ET

What’s still in play?

The named levels from last week, how far each is, and the odds price tags it before this week closes — then what the week usually does from here, and today’s lean.
7,820KEY LINE
Last Week High
last week’s high — the breakout line
415.8 pts away
0% chance it tags before the week closes
7,689REVERSION TARGET
Midpoint
last week’s middle — the reversion target
285.1 pts away
✓ already tagged this week0% to tag again before it closes
7,614REFERENCE
Settlement
last week’s close — the reference
210.8 pts away
✓ already tagged this week0% to tag again before it closes
7,558KEY LINE
Last Week Low
last week’s low — broken, price is below it
154.50 pts away
✓ already tagged this week1% to tag again before it closes

What this week usually does next — from 1,047 past weeks

Breaks last week’s high and keeps going73%n=109+23
Or pokes the high and slips back under50%n=107-0
Takes out last week’s high62%base 50%+12
Takes out last week’s low42%base 50%-8
Closes the week green56%base 50%+6
Bigger range than last week50%base 50%-0
Each number is how often it happened, next to how far it is from a coin flip. Touch odds, not money odds.

This week’s lean — no clear lean

No clear lean — it has not taken last week’s high (7,820); it broke last week’s low (7,558) instead. This read is built on breaks of the high, so it gives no lean on a break lower. Price is now below last week’s low (7,558), by 154 pts.
read the level, then the lean
BELOW last week’s low · Week roadmap · leppyrdtracks.com