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LEPPYRD/TRACKS
Page 1 · The map
Wed 23 Sep 2026 · priced 08:53 ET

Where can ES get to this week?

Each rung is a level that far from here, and how often price has touched it before the week is out — 2,040 completed weeks, priced from where it sits now. It stays inside 7,741 – 7,900 more than half the time.
Price now
7,821
Typical week range
159.05 pts
Where we are
mid-week
7,86155%COIN FLIPabout even money7,78155%7,90026%STRETCHneeds a real move7,74126%7,94012%LONG SHOTneeds a runner7,70112%7,9806%OUTLIERrare7,6626%8,0592%OUTLIERrare7,5822%8,1391%OUTLIERrare7,5031%7,821PRICE NOW✓ LAST WEEK HIGH✓ SETTLEMENT
likelyeven-isha stretch
LAST WEEK LOW 7,575 is 245.8 pts away — off the map  ·  MIDPOINT 7,657 is 163.62 pts away — off the map
where it can go, priced from history
leppyrdtracks.com · Week roadmap
LEPPYRD/TRACKS
Page 2 · The playbook
Wed 23 Sep 2026 · priced 08:53 ET

What’s still in play?

The named levels from last week, how far each is, and the odds price tags it before this week closes — then what the week usually does from here, and today’s lean.
7,739KEY LINE
Last Week High
last week’s high — the breakout line
81.50 pts away
✓ already tagged this week12% to tag again before it closes
7,725REFERENCE
Settlement
last week’s close — the reference
95.75 pts away
✓ already tagged this week12% to tag again before it closes
7,657REVERSION TARGET
Midpoint
last week’s middle — the reversion target
163.62 pts away
2% chance it tags before the week closes
7,575KEY LINE
Last Week Low
last week’s low — the floor
245.8 pts away
1% chance it tags before the week closes

What this week usually does next — from 1,041 past weeks

Breaks last week’s high and keeps going73%n=108+23
Or pokes the high and slips back under50%n=107-0
Takes out last week’s high63%base 50%+13
Takes out last week’s low42%base 50%-8
Closes the week green56%base 50%+6
Bigger range than last week50%base 50%-0
Each number is how often it happened, next to how far it is from a coin flip. Touch odds, not money odds.

This week’s lean — ↑ leaning up

Leaning up — it broke last week’s high and held above it. When that happens it keeps going 73% of the time (normally 59%).
read the level, then the lean
ABOVE last week’s high · Week roadmap · leppyrdtracks.com